Saturday, March 3, 2012

Number needed to treat (NNT)

  1. Formula: NNT = 1 / ARR
    • NNT: number needed to treat
    • ARR: absolute risk reduction (PLACEBO GROUP RATIO EVENT)
      ARR = AR: attributable risk = (a / a + b) - (c / c + d)
  2. Classic USMLE question:
    • "You are asked to evaluate the efficacy if a new drug X effect in laboratory rats. The results of a randomized control trial at 10 years are given below:
                                               Disease +          Disease -
      Treated  (drug X)                  10                      990
      No treated  (placebo)           25                      975

      What is the number needed to treat to prevent the disease using drug X?
    • Answer
      NNT = 1 / ARR = 1 / (placebo group - treatment group)
      a / a + b = treatment group = 10 / (10 + 990) = 0.010
      c / c + d = placebo group = 25 / (25 + 975) = 0.025

      NNT = 1 / (0.025 - 0.010) = 1 / 0.015 = 66.6 or 67 

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